Donald Trump for President 2012 - Why Not?

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We're just a few short months away from the beginning of the 2012 Presidential Campaign season.
Now is the time for potential candidates to test the waters and see where they might fit into the mix.
What better way to do that than at the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) where hopefuls have the ability to speak in front of their base supporters.
The critical and often vocal crowd has set the early tone for the conservative favorites, and the most exciting highlights of the conference were Ron Paul and none other than Donald Trump.
During his speech at CPAC, we found out that Trump has been seriously considering a Presidential bid for awhile and is set to make his final decision sometime in June as to whether or not he will run.
The question is, however, whether or not Donald Trump has an actual chance to win the Presidency.
Trump's speech at CPAC was very straightforward and no nonsense.
He laid out his credentials as one of the most successful businessmen in the world and how he used his competitive edge to win battles and overcome his adversaries in order to make it to the top.
He explained how he knows what it takes to create jobs, because he's done it, and how America has lost its competitiveness due to weak leadership in Washington.
Donald Trump also talked about his love of free markets and free trade, but noted that the United States is participating in neither because of China being allowed to manipulate its currency.
He said that if he were President, this practice would stop and that America would once again be respected by our world competitors.
Donald Trump was able to set forth a populist message that resonated well with conservatives in attendance at the conference, but will it translate into votes at the ballot box? Donald Trump's most difficult obstacle on the road to winning Presidency will be capturing the Republican nomination.
Will he be able to convince the astute Republican primary voter that he is a serious choice that can win a general election? What gives Trump a chance, however, is that it is an open field and no one person is going to run away with the nomination.
All of the most popular candidates have one reason or another that would give a voter pause.
Take Sarah Palin for instance.
Even though she has a strong set of core supporters, she has a high disapproval rating among the general public.
Newt Gingrich might be the most intelligent politician of the bunch, but will take a beating in the media because of his personal shortcomings.
Mike Hukabee has a strong conservative foundation but comes across too much like Mr.
Rogers, and would struggle with young and casual voters.
The only candidate that could remotely compete with Donald Trump's business background would be Mitt Romney.
Romney's weakness, though, is that he passed a health care law similar to Obamacare in the State of Massachusetts while he was Governor.
That will be tied to his neck like an albatross for the whole primary season.
Trump's two main rivals in a race to capture the Republican nomination would be Tim Pawlenty and Mitch Daniels, but neither one of them has the celebrity status to bring in new voters the way that Donald Trump could.
In the end, it will come down to competitiveness and performance and that's why Donald Trump could win.
When it comes down to a head to head race with Barack Obama in a general election, Donald Trump would have a great chance.
Everyone knows that the Obama Campaign will be able to raise a ton of cash, but Donald Trump is a billionaire and would be able supplement the money he raises with that from his own personal fortune.
He won't have to rely on special interest groups the way Obama needs the labor unions and trial lawyers.
Trump will be able to use that point numerous times in the Presidential Debates.
Barack Obama's disapproval rate is high enough nationally that Donald Trump should be able to win the usual red states and make it a race to see who's going to win swing States like Ohio and Pennsylvania.
That would work to Trump's advantage because both states voted heavily Republican in the mid-term elections and are now occupied by Republican Governors.
Donald Trump's populist message and fondness of the American worker could defeat the union vote and resurrect the Reagan Democrats.
Also, there is the wild-card of Trump's home State of New York which is normally a Democrat stronghold.
At the very least, the Obama Campaign will have to spend more time and money there than they would have against another opponent and if Donald Trump were to somehow win in New York, then it would be game over for Barack Obama.
It is clearly evident that Donald Trump has just a good of a chance as any to be the next President of the United States.
His competitive nature, business background, and celebrity could help him win the Republican nomination.
In the general election, the unique problems that he would cause the Obama Campaign could be enough to push Trump over the top.
It first has to come down to whether or not Donald Trump will decide to run.
Perhaps the events that occurred at the Conservative Political Action Conference will be the spark to what very well could be the most interesting Presidential Election in recent memory.
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